Wednesday, 21 September 2016

A Short draft Essay on a strategic weakness of the current Left in Britain. (Comments, criticisms and alternatives welcome.)


A Short draft Essay on a strategic weakness of the current Left in Britain.
(Comments, criticisms and alternatives welcome.)

1

When the British Parliament took on its modern form, after the English Revolution of the 1640s and later the Restoration of 1660 to 1667, Parliament had a real and decisive purpose. The compromise between the new classes, the Merchants, the City of London and the post Tudor landowners now in alliance with the traditional aristocracy and the monarchy, against the more radical forces unleashed in the 1640’s, required an heterogeneous instrument to take the recomposed ruling class’s political and economic interests forward. It also needed to legitimate the suppression of those that still favoured a radical, democratic, alternative to monarchy and the ‘Lords of misrule’.

There needed to be an organised political and economic discussion between all the elements of the new dominant, social amalgam. Despite the frictions and contradictions, and the relentless movement in the direction of capitalist accumulation, in the English then British circumstances of the time, neither the royal court nor any republican parliament could do it alone The parliament that was created was corrupt, gerrymandered, dominated by ultra-rich cliques but, until the late 19th century, ultimately immensely effective in promoting the unified interests of a new and evolving capitalist class.

As Parliament was essentially a committee of an adolescent, fragmented and only latterly a fully-grown, single, ruling class, it had to debate and resolve a common interest on major questions of state and finance. This included the retreat from the American colonies, the hundred years of war with France, down to the Corn Laws. But then everything changed. And Parliament had now to deal with two, antagonistic social classes that could not share a common interest, which, naturally, changed everything.

The first uprising of the British working class per se was centered on the nature of Parliament and democracy. Indeed the actions of the Chartists (1820s to 1840s) drew together a new working class from its entire multitude of circumstances and conditions. This new working class was first born through a direct political struggle rather than through social experience of large-scale industry. It was defeated but left a profound legacy that paralleled (sometimes indistinctly) the later, trade union base of mass working class struggle in the late 19th and early 20th century.

The successful 100 year battle by labour and by women for the franchise; the overthrow of Empire; and now all of that capped by the reorganisation of capitalist economics via globalization, has rendered the original role of the British Parliament marginal, indeed dysfunctional in its historical terms. The adaptations that Parliament made to these new realities were always insecure; always underpinned by the effort to get the big decisions out of the place. That state of affairs remains true for both the main classes, albeit for different reasons. Which is why, despite much greater venality of the parliaments in the past, so many millions regard ‘their’ current parliament as worthless and rotten to the core.

Since the rise of labour and political rights for women, Parliament now has one signal purpose and two main functions for Britain’s rulers. Parliament, sometimes by concessions during a period of working class advance, presents itself as providing access to the system of society for those who do not own it. Also by that means the endless measures designed to ‘free’ capital and restrict labour are legitimated among the population as a whole. And those have been its main concerns on behalf of a capitalist class challenged in Britain since the full franchise was won and labour organised itself at work and then politically. Parliament reached the apogee of its concessionary role in 1945 when the USSR had defeated Hitler and, as the future Lord Boothby said at the time,
‘If we do not give them reform, they will give us revolution.’

Since then the British capitalist class, broadly abetted by the leadership of the Tory and the Labour parties, have collaborated in the gradual shift out of Parliament of all the great decisions concerning wealth and power in Britain. Parliament has increasingly become an echo chamber for strategies decided by others, in different places and, once in a while, as with the 2008 crisis, a means of distributing their failures. Parliament has therefore become more and more marginal, uncertain, hapless, with its membership driven in the main by individual ambition.

(This is another example of how an historical trend can emerge from a kaleidoscope of personal ambition, from the fear of one’s opponents and the desire for short-term gain. Despite the fractured chaos of actions and reactions there emerges a pattern of both individual and collective development, invariably conflicted and contradictory, but shaped by a coherence, over-determined by overall class interests and struggles.)

2

The most recent political developments in Britain demonstrate the grossly deformed and impotent character of Britain’s modern parliament.

The Scottish referendum for independence, initiated by an SNP led Scottish Parliament, following the political collapse in Scotland of the post Blair Labour Party, turned into a triumph of modern, democratic, debate. A huge proportion of the Scottish people participated in discussions, meetings, conferences and arguments, at every level, over months, more and more focusing on the sort of society that Scotland could or should be. There was an upheaval in Scotland of political discussion. When the high level debate in Scotland is measured against the intervention into the Scottish referendum of the British mainstream political leaderships and of Britain’s Parliament, which amounted to the crudest threats in the last two months, their embarrassing threats hit the lowest possible level in the debate. The British Parliament’s ‘success’ in frightening the mainly middle classes of Scotland has simply left a wound that will not heal. As British economic conditions worsen over the coming years as Europe as a whole reels at the latest failures of globalisation with or without Brexit, so the demand for a new referendum in Scotland will grow and Scottish society will further polarise. The British Parliament and its main parties categorically failed to respond at any strategic level to the Scottish people and their debate. They have therefore been sidelined in Scottish political life. Even the Scottish Tories have had to ‘nationalise’ themselves in the face of British turmoil.

The British Parliament then launched its own referendum, which had been spat out from a factional effort to stitch back together Britain’s main political party, the Tories. The evolution of the truncated discussion that there was on leaving the EU was entirely controlled by mainstream party leaders, a self-censoring BBC and shrieking, racist hysterics from the billionaires’ broadsheets. Social media did not counter these influences as it was broadly unavailable to the over 40s. People ended up watching a debate between various Donald Trumps, in set-up forums. And the mass of British voters were kept well out of any serious discussion.

Part of the EU referendum’s low level debate and gross failure to focus on the key questions was, of course, because the referendum itself posed a non-question. Whether the British people should remain in an international organisation set up by a continent’s rulers to deal with globalisation - via neo-liberalism, or instead whether to be a single nation state as a means of dealing with globalisation - via neo-liberalism, is not much of a choice. Both ex ‘remainers’ and ex ‘leavers’ in the political mainstream are at pains to insist that it is business very much as usual. The necessary tax concessions to global companies and the accompanying destruction of the social wage and living conditions to appease the dominant corporations of the world will continue.

However, there were political formations that Parliament and its rules had completely excluded, who were able to fill the ‘real meaning of the referendum’ gap among sections of the UK population, primarily UKIP. The British EU referendum was not a debate about the future of British society but rather a means of registering an anti status quo, anti immigration view of the world held, albeit tentatively, by millions of people. There were no mainstream debates at all on the real reasons that basic services were running down or on Britain’s role in the catastrophic wars that have injured the planet and millions of its people.

Why is Britain’s Parliamentary structure culpable? Because it was unable and unwilling to lead the discussion on who really had wealth and power in the EU or in the UK: on why services were declining: on who was responsible for war and cuts: on what sort of society British people want. Instead it had whistled up a referendum from the head of one crafty politician that thought he could put Humpty Dumpy together again. Britain’s voting rules had totally ignored then excluded 5 million voters for UKIP and the Greens in the 2010 General Election, whose voices and argument would have then been heard across the nation, both positively and negatively, months before the vote. If Parliament had actually represented those who voted for something at the General Election, then the character of the coming referendum could have been exposed. Certainly, as the antics of UKIP MPs in Parliament became more visible across a range of issues, the debate would have had the chance of becoming something more substantial and significant than it was.

More broadly and more desperately still, the British peoples’ finest achievement, the NHS teeters on the brink of disaster. Parliament fouls its own greatest moment in the last 100 years by its abject failure to defend the people’s most important service. Maintaining and developing the NHS should be Parliament’s most important job. It is of course a class issue, but Labour leader Blair, Labour’s most successful Prime Minister in terms of office, led the now Tory charge to dismantle it. Parliament is the only place within the British state that has the systematic and overt function of ‘reconciling’ class differences in the modern era (albeit depending on the balance of social forces in the country.) On the NHS the Labour leaders forced no positive compromise, they simply started to give the NHS away. Who among the British working class wanted that?

In other words Britain’s political system distorts and holds back Britain’s political life. Like its lop-sided economy, its ‘permanently’ unresolved national questions and its deep failure to hold up living standards of the majority over the last 20 years, Britain’s Parliament has been built in modern times on the principle of no principle. That is to say that the political system is an accretion of ad hoc measures mainly taken in the immediate, day-to-day interests of Britain’s real rulers – sometimes under pressure from the working class and its compromised leaders and sometimes, as in the case of the NHS – not.

3.

Within the framework of the continuing failure of Britain’s political system; (think of the current joke where 24% of voters voted for what turned into a government in 2010 that has now replaced its Prime Minister, its Cabinet and most of its policies, yet fully expects to sail on for another three years) where is the Labour Party?

The title of this essay suggests a strategic weakness in the left’s approach. This weakness is most fully revealed by an examination of the question of power. The execrable Owen, Labour Party challenger to Corbyn’s leadership and puppet of big pharma for many years, with a programme ‘virtually the same as Jeremy Corbyn’s’, wrote down his differences with Corbyn in a recent interview with the BBC’s news political editor Laura Kuenssberg (13 September 2016.)  He chose the word ‘power.’ What he meant was Labour winning its own 24% of voters and forming a government at the next election in 2020 could only happen with anybody other than Corbyn (i.e. him) at the helm. But that is a complete fantasy, even were the weathercock Owen able to take Labour’s tiller.

The Labour Party is now, and for the immediate future, barred from that sort of ‘power’. Courtesy of years of Blairite management and wars, Labour has lost its mass base in Scotland (and 30 or more MPs.) It is losing its traditional bases in the North, particularly the North East, to right wing populism spearheaded by UKIP. The anti EU vote in the North and in Wales shows further trends away from Labour. And now the Tories are preparing a re-composition of constituencies that threaten a further 30 Labour seats. In other words Labour’s Parliamentary crisis has nothing to do with Corbyn’s leadership (nor, as claimed by some on the left, because the remnants of Blairism in Parliament are now splitting the party and this is putting voters off – although no doubt it is) but it is rather the longer term break up of Labour’s traditional political base inside the British working class in general. And despite all the hope, energy and momentum, as things stand, including the emergence of a public faction of Blairite MPs which makes things worse, even Corbyn’s leadership of the Labour Party will not win the 120 odd seats needed to win a traditional Labour government in the next General Election.

In Britain, working class people cannot now rely on traditional parliamentary means to install a government that they feel represents them and their class (whether or not its leadership compromises that goal). And Parliament’s current structure reinforces, indeed promotes, such a dismal future.

4.

How could a Corbyn led Labour Party get into government? How can working class people be represented politically in the Britain that is today? Some of the far left in Britain advise reliance on the ‘historical process.’ Fed up with MPs and all their works, working class people will adopt soviets (called Councils of Action in the English translation) as their platform for power. Apparently that is where the ‘historic process’ is leading. Unfortunately ‘history’ has the habit of making fun of soothsayers and it is probably more useful to start from the place where the only state leader who lived with soviet power started, from the ‘concrete analysis of the concrete situation’ – and leave ‘history’ to do its own work. Taking theoretical abstraction to the highest level of the concrete is indispensable for any sort of clarity in class politics.

There are three pillars that need to be constructed for a Corbyn led government to come into office (when the real trouble will begin!) Later this essay will examine some of the continental European experiences but first and absolutely indispensable for any Corbyn led government is a mass movement against austerity, war and racism, which is rooted in every community. The Peoples Assembly, with the support of key and currently fighting unions, is at the centre of such a project today. Thousands of its supporters have joined up to Corbyn’s Labour Party because, not surprisingly, they want a government that will deliver their goals. But it is the movement of hundreds of thousands, of millions of people, being part of something momentous that brings a sense of potential power - through unity and action - to those who are denied any access to power. A mass movement in action describes who your enemies are and who will be your natural friends – and who you need to be together with, to unite with, to win what you need. It is a crucial part of the apprenticeship of ‘a class for itself’. A Corbyn government will need an immense mobilisation in action. Even some of the more extreme political outriders of the western ruling class understand a distorted version of that most modern truth in the course of their own candidacy and trajectory to power. Only the rising sea of a class movement will lift a Corbyn led Labour Party to success.


Second, British politics is not a previously coherent structure now full of holes left by the retreat of the main parties from their traditional bases in the main social classes they once rested on. It is more accurately described as a set of bunkers designed for defense and attack against potentially insurgent classes that might threaten ruling class rule. Parliament (underpinned by Empire and the emergence of malleable trade union bureaucracy) was a mechanism within this endless struggle that was redesigned by the franchise laws in the late 19th and early 20th century to reduce friction, concede ground when necessary and create the national myth of a common interest between opposing classes. As this function has become less and less needed or desired, so new formations have emerged to create new versions of political life that might create new bridges now that traditional ones have fallen.

In Scotland the SNP argue that the national interest is the common interest between classes but not in neutral terms. They propose a new social democratic society, unavailable south of the border, as the end result of embracing the national interest. The Greens similarly argue for a new ‘social contract’ between the classes based on the ‘human’ principle of survival against ecological catastrophe – and again this would be a most radical contract, unavailable in the current status quo. Plaid Cymru embraces both concepts, again within a left social democratic perspective.

A Corbyn led government can only come about at the centre of a network of alliances that share the objective of a substantial shift in favour of the working class, albeit starting from a broad social democratic perspective. Those who want a substantial shift will never believe that the old, traditional Labour Party will provide it. Those who might become interested in a substantial shift will see no sense whatsoever in the idea that this is the exclusive property of the Labour Party alone. Those who have already consciously abandoned the Labour Party as part of their despair at all mainstream parties, will require a new alliance to renew their confidence that something different is happening and something useful could be done. On Trident, on war, on immigration, on racism, on austerity, such a new programme could be put together. It has to be put together to win a new majority of voters. A Corbyn led Party needs to start now to build the social and political bloc and the associated alliances to make a fresh start and give a fresh appeal to millions of people who despise Britain’s traditional politics.

Finally there is the reform of Parliament itself. In virtually every respect the British Parliament is a scandal: from the ministers, who are embedded in senior positions in companies a fortnight after they have left office, to the 800 plus Lords, (117 new ones so far this year), who together with the Commons form the largest parliament in the world per head of the population. (India for example has half the number of parliamentarians with 20 times the population.)

Right at the heart of the British political system is this parasitic cesspit of the House of Lords, constantly reproducing itself through patronage and party donations by the rich. Meanwhile the ‘elected’ house at Westminster consolidates a political life that no longer exists in the country; a government and opposition that largely represent their members own ambitions; the British state machine - and a small minority of its population. All together this is a structure deeply out of kilter with the society it is supposed to lead. It is not framed by the needs of the British people. It is a poisoned anachronism.

Reopening the discussion and insisting on the demand for fair votes is only part of the reform bill to be presented to our rulers. But it is nevertheless essential. There is no need here to rehearse the dangers and mistakes that have arisen as a result of a voting system where only a few hundred thousand votes count in a handful of constituencies. The government is arguing their plan for equalising the size of constituencies (despite the 2 million new voters unaccounted for and special role of cities in all peoples’ lives) on the basis that everyone will now have a fair vote. In our current system that means that every voter will have the same utterly, infinitesimal chance of making any difference with their vote. This lowers all votes to the lowest common denominator. Corbyn’s Labour has to shout from the rooftops for fair votes; that the referendums showed that every vote (and voter) should count. Dissolving this point into a school class discussion about voting systems is the worst thing to do. This argument belongs as part of a series of measures to clean up Parliament and the Parties; to take wealth out MP’s and Party pockets; to sent their Lordships packing; to change Party, Government and Parliament’s relationship with the people; a major point that will be expanded in part 6.

A mass movement of active millions; alliances building new political fronts on key policies and the reconstruction of voting and Parliamentary democracy are all preconditions for a Corbyn led government; preconditions for wide ranging inroads on the bastions of wealth, power, including state power, and privilege, which are all choking our society to death.

5.

A series of significant, anti-globalisation parties sprang up across Western Europe from the beginning of this century. In some cases the collapse of traditional social democracy and the rise of radicalising movements, from both the left and the right, either created serious pressure on traditional social democratic parties, or as in the case of Greece, removed them virtually entirely from the scene.

The UK Labour Party has not avoided this development. But like other nations across Western Europe it evolves its own unique combination of these wider trends. The impact of Blair’s Labour’s war mongering, the rise of the national question in Scotland against Labour’s support for austerity and the alienation of parts of Labour’s traditional base - as the party supported austerity and promoted cuts and UKIP provided the political ‘solution’ of immigration - broke down Labour support both from the right and the left. The mass movements against war and austerity gathering on the left have now made their own political move by ‘entering’ Labour’s withering and empty party structures at the party’s base. They are busy trying to create their own ‘new party’ from its ruins. Britain’s version of the European experience of new parties may be quirky but the fundamentals are the same.

Looking at some aspects of the left and parliaments in other European countries; popular movements and associated parties erupted either along side traditional social democratic parties or even replaced them from the left. (This is not always the pattern regarding traditional left parties. As with UKIP’s ‘bite’ into traditional Labour support in Britain, so the ‘bite of the French Front National into traditional Communist Party areas has been very deep.)

In Spain two year old party Podemos fights austerity from the left and continues to contest with the main social democratic party neck and neck in the polls while the social democrat leadership refuses to break with austerity and challenge Spanish political corruption. In Portugal a small left bloc has supported a new social democratic coalition, whose new leadership has promised to challenge austerity.

Political conditions in Greece have gone furthest in this connection. Social democracy was wiped out as a result of its corruption and its relentless support for EU led austerity. The mass movements, first in the squares and then in social solidarity and anti-fascism, actively and consistently involved hundreds of thousands of Greek people and touched millions in a country of ten million. History sped up in Greece and the political formation that placed itself at the head of those mass movements (with a rather more ambivalent relationship to some of the mass actions) rapidly replaced Greek social democracy, but sadly not only in form but also in content! Syriza now implements EU led austerity. New people – old politics is the slogan on Athen’s walls.

The Greek movements remain intact (although smaller) and have even been renovated by the turn they made to Greece’s refugee crises. The movements remain by and large independent of Syriza and are a tremendous pressure on the government. An estimated 60% of the Greek population has taken part in some sort of action to support the refugees. The movements and some key unions are the working class ‘bunker’ as the debate begins across society as to whether any strictly parliamentary force and focus can meet the Greek peoples’ need for a political leadership that will really reject austerity. Meanwhile Greece’s right is reorganising and preparing its next steps.

It is patently obvious from even this small collection of European experiences that any simple formula that new left parties can simply re-conquer the ‘space’ left by moldering traditional social democratic parties in their dissolution is suspect. Equally a strategy for ‘scooping up’ traditional social democratic / communist party votes, where the goal is a majority or at least an effective minority in Parliament, makes little sense.  

To get to the heart of the matter it is necessary to understand that most Western European parliaments have deeper roots in society that in Britain. Many of those parliaments came out of the successful defeat of Hitler and German occupation. In Spain and Greece’s case, popular sentiment supporting parliaments devolves from the overthrow of fascist and military regimes as late as the 1970s. And although there was a hiatus in the British Parliament’s history between 1945 and 1948, it entirely missed the democratic reforms, including proportional representation systems of voting, that the new European parliaments popularly embraced. Nevertheless, some mass hostility to various degrees, for the political class, is universal across the whole of Western Europe including Britain. Substantially, what this condition means is that any new political formation (whether inside or outside formal social democratic structures; whether in alliance, coalition or face to face battle with social democratic parties, even whether social democracy has already been replaced in parliament) has to challenge the role of parliament itself.

In whose name should this challenge be made?

6.

Parliament and all its members have to be re-formed, root and branch. The Corbyn led Labour Party needs to spend as little time as possible on those MPs who are organising against the new party (which is re-forming itself in line with its own future objectives.) The essence of such a reformation is an utter change in its relationship with the people and particularly working class people who need it. Focusing this new approach to Parliament and the people just on one or two questions by way of example, how should the new Labour Party act?

It should act as though it were responsible to mass of ordinary people who are going to live in a country with nuclear weapons, with all that implies, or not. First the mass membership of the party itself needs to organise their debate and their decision, in preparation to lead society. This should take as long as it takes. Second a mass discussion should be opened, from social media to town halls, where all the implications of the decision are available, but where those national media that are privately owned are obliged to provide equal weighting to the arguments if they wish to participate. Then the argument should be put to a referendum. Perhaps the Labour Party’s position would be defeated. It would nevertheless retain its view and continue to campaign. The significant point is that this potential leadership in Parliament would be responsible to, and subordinate to, the people. All key questions on wealth and power and the nation’s future - secure funding for the NHS, military engagement, minimum wages and wealth taxes - could face a similar process.

There is no sign that the Scots were ‘put off’ from (mostly) democratic debate in nearly 18 months of fierce campaigning. Work was still done. Children went to school. Society managed to continue. And the substance of the matter was not avoided by a Parliament, and dealt with by an unelected elite but instead decided by Scottish people.

In this context what do MPs, elected by fair votes, become? They are not delegates that take a position already decided into a conference. They are not, as they are now called, representatives, who ‘re-present’ their own position (usually on something of second rate significance) because the people who voted for them are too busy to think. They are to be, to borrow a phrase, tribunes of the people. Their business is to lead the debate of the people on the critical matters in their lives, and to take responsibility and be accountable for that. In other words Parliament becomes the sounding board and the direct instrument of the people ‘to get things done.’

The ‘common sense’ lies can be confronted. How can ‘equality of opportunity’ mean anything but its opposite when a select group inherit vast wealth as infants, barely born? How is a policy for peace reconciled with active warmongering in several of the poorest countries across the world? These ‘newspeak’ phrases are part the cultural web of hypocrisy that can be torn away – if the leaders in Parliament walk alongside the people who have elected them in a great rising for truth and for institutional change.

The key to this change in the relationship between a Parliament, led by Labour and its allies and the people it serves, is that leaders must mobilise the people to win their own victories. In the case of the battle with austerity, enquiries and commissions of those who have been most damaged should be established around the country.  Those who have suffered most should be encouraged to speak out against their conditions. Together with their new political formations, they would collectively debate and resolve those national actions that Parliament needs to take to end their misery and to build genuine equality. Informed referendums; local organisations acting not just to work out local solutions but to carry them out; great conferences, carnivals, social movements that confront the damage in the lives of the majority, all these forms and formats have their place in a real and developing democracy.

Over the next weeks and months there will be a serious and significant battle to democratise the Labour Party itself, now the biggest political party in Western Europe. But this will mean very little if Labour does not put a bold plan to the people to democratise Parliament, which then offers a lead on the key political and economic issues of our time. And that will only succeed if Parliament in turn is transformed to be able to promote the rising into democratic life of the great majority of society.

Tuesday, 19 July 2016

Labour Party future?

When Teresa May, Britain's new Tory Prime Minister, announced her programme after Brexit, she dropped a large part of the 2015 Tory Manifesto. (Which is another reason why there should be an early General Election.) Ex Chancellor of the Exchequer, Osborne, quietly announced that the government debt targets had been dropped and George's main economic policy, the 'long term plan', duly caught a cold and died. 'Austerity' has suddenly dissolved. May wants an 'industrial policy' (a swearword for the previous Tory Cabinet), workers on company boards and share holders to have binding rights to limit company manager's salaries. May is pointing to a post Brexit future via ideas  from the early 20th century and Lloyd George!

The significance of all this for the future of the Labour Party goes right to the heart of its current struggle. And the first thing to understand is that the battle for Labour's leadership is a decisive class battle.

Following Brexit and the latest, large-scale contradictions erupting within globalisation, by no means has the Tory Party finished with its own changes in the turmoil of ruling class politics in the UK. Tory grandees are full of fear, wondering what they can base UK ruling class politics on when the City of London demands, as a first step, a major cut in its annual £67 billion tax payment, and the £1 trillion annual foreign investment figure shrivels. They also look over their shoulder at Farage's 4 million voters in the UK, and Trump's presidential prospects in the US, with further alarm. But what frightens them most in their particular world is what is happening in the Labour Party.

The Tory's specific evolution (and ruling class politics in general) depends, indeed at the moment essentially depends, on the reaction of the global and the UK working class movement, facing those same national and international convulsions. The major economic shifts and cracks post Brexit are certainly coming. But today the line of class conflict in Britain is most obvious in the country's political struggle. It is centred in the fight in the Labour Party.

Lenin's 'bourgeoise / workers party' was always an algebraic formula for the Labour Party. That is to say Lenin's description did not of itself provide a measure of the content and weight of the two different contradictory aspects of the party during Labour's development through its history. By the time of Blair's premiership the content of the second part of Labour's contradiction had little, if any, substance. It was then that the overall crisis of the Labour Party began in earnest, with its losses in Scotland and to UKIP (for without its contradictory character it could find no particular role in late capitalism's political spectrum.) As reality is always richer than a thousand theories, so Labour's empty halls marked 'workers' suddenly began to fill from a new layer of hundreds of thousands of active trade unionists and from the mass movements against war and austerity that had bedevilled first Blair and then Cameron.

Today Labour is a party where society's two major classes are contesting, over nothing less than the leadership of the working class, going into the next stormy period. And despite all the jokes and the trivia, Britain's rulers are terrified that a new, radical, working-class based party could be born.

As many have guessed but only suspected we now have the first ever generation to record lower lifetime earnings than their predecessors. Today’s 27 year olds (born in 1988) are earning the same amount that 27 year olds did a quarter of a century ago and have actually earned £8,000 less during their twenties than those in the preceding generation. (Stagnation Generation: the case for renewing the intergenerational contract. Resolution Foundation. 18 July 2016.) At the same time mass movements have been built and unions have fought back. A new working class in Britain is also 'becoming' itself, underpinned by the new brutal material conditions, but now focused ideologically by this process of the end of traditional social democracy in Britain, and the search for a new political leadership.

The economic factor, the relationship of labour power to the means of production, remains essential in the creation of the working class, but historically this has gone through many forms. Today the working class movement, the best unions, the mass campaigns, bring together a new working class experience summed up in action against war and austerity and now in a first stage but still critical battle over which class (the 'labour' representatives of a ruling class status quo or those who want a different society) should win the political leadership first of the whole of the working class and then of society.

Which brings us back to the new PM's dumping of her 2015 Tory manifesto.

On July 18 in Parliament Corbyn argued and voted against the £32 billion submarines that float Trident nukes. Another wave of Labour MPs were 'shocked' that their elected leader did not 'stick to official Labour Party policy.' And some did just argue the case to keep Britain's nukes. Every Labour MP was able to speak for their own opinion. But what wretches are these parliamentary tribunes of Labour's holy writ as they turned on Corbyn! And how revealing is the force of the policy argument in this Labour Party battle.

Teresa May unceremoniously dumped the Tory Manifesto and spelt out her new platform. Of course Labour Conferences are sovereign over Labour's policy but now the leadership battle has officially started in the party the hesitation over Corbyn's main proposals for post Brexit Britain must stop and his policies presented, front and centre. Millions of working class people in Britain have no idea, bar opposing nukes, why Corbyn's leadership struggle is so important to them. And, following Brexit, the submergence of Farage and the destruction of Johnston and Gove, means that working class people who might have been attracted to an anti-immigration political course and a new right wing in Britain, are in flux and open to bold arguments, unavailable in any official defense of a decaying and anti-working class EU during the referendum campaign, but available now.

The left and Corbyn need to nail exactly what no more austerity means, given that everybody is now forced to sit on that particular carpet. Now is the time to denounce the gap between the rich and poor by promising to implement a basic living standard for all citizens, with priority community regeneration plans in the most deprived areas, with across the board standards for housing to health, from employment to enjoyment. In this context it makes a huge difference to the argument that Britain should share labour and its future with anyone in the world who wants to, or who has to come to the UK.  Finance needs regulation and control. National and regional investment banks focussed on key infrastructure projects and subject to popular accountability would begin the fight to 'bring down' the City. Some experts are already arguing for a legally fixed proportion of the nation's overall wealth, on a sliding scale according to need, for the health service. It is a principle that is open to a democratic consensus and and might be widened to all the key services.

One critical policy must be the total renovation of a decrepit, corrupt and remote political system; starting with elections, like the EU referendum, where every vote counts.

The new leadership of the Labour Party, based on its members and the best unions, have a chance to show what a new Britain would look like if they use the platform of Labour's leadership election in the outward, hopeful, inclusive and radical way they should. And if the result of this campaign results in winning the leadership of the Party, many, perhaps the bulk of Labour MPs may be lost to hopes of positions in a future National Government, but a new political expression of a new working class will have a national voice and be at the heart of mainstream politics as the crisis of the system unfolds.

Wednesday, 13 July 2016

The left - in Greece and Britain!

At first sight it might seem curious to compare Greece with Britain for all the obvious reasons. However both countries have the dubious honour in succession, despite the undecided elections in Spain and the bank crisis in Italy, of becoming the two weakest political links in the ongoing European crisis. Consequently there have been significant developments in Greece which reflect on the current British malaise and that are worth exploring.

A commanding feature of Greek social and political life has been the development of self-organising movements of enormous size and significance. What has now become 'Solidarity for All' started when militants from the city squares movement began to help the creation of practical, self-managed responses to austerity in health, education and food, in 2013 and 2014. By the end of 2014, 3 million people were participating in 'solidarity, not charity.' The Greek anti-fascist movement  and the movement in defense of immigrant communities and refugees started well before this, in the 1990s. The movement to defend immigrants blossomed to become the centre of one of the greatest examples of humanity that Europe has seen in the incredible response created in Greece, where over 60% of its 10 million population have been involved in helping and supporting the recent flood of refugees into Europe.

The emergence of Syriza, a coalition of the largest parts of the left in Greece, rose independently of Greece's social movements to become the chosen expression of the Greek people's hostility to continued, relentless austerity. In practice Syriza floated above the rising wave of the movements, but maintained their distance and independence from them. They facilitated (and largely continue to allow) the work of the movements. For their part, Solidarity for All and the others were happy to keep their distance from Syriza and later the Syriza government, especially as they did not wish to substitute in any way for the necessary responsibilities of the state.

In January 2015 the Syriza leadership embarked on an attempt to split the EU leadership, ameliorate Greece's debt and restart economic growth. They had an ambitious domestic programme of defending pensions, restoring the minimum wage, bringing the 'unregistered' into the health service and blocking privatisation.

In July 2016 Syriza called a referendum on a new and draconian 'memorandum' as their efforts to divide the EU leadership failed. The Syriza leadership did not campaign for 'No' and were as surprised as the rest of Europe's leaders when the Greek people voted exactly that. Today Syriza implements the EU memorandum in the same way previous austerity measures were implemented and which caused the overthrow of past governments. They nevertheless won a second election in September 2015. The left split from Syriza, Popular Unity, scored under 3% of the vote and did not get one MP.

What has happened to the mass movements in Greece? Have they broken as Syriza failed - in its return to the status quo and worse in Greek politics?

Extraordinarily, the skeletons of Greece's mass movements have survived. More; the movement in defense of refugees has blossomed. Solidarity for All activists estimate that they are now involved with 250,000 people, of which 160,00 are refugees. The refugee movement is not countable, but organisers of the occupation of Hotel City Plaza in Athens, which now houses 112 women, 92 men and 185 children and feeds 900 per day, describe 10 similar initiatives across the city and hundreds across the country as well as thousands of day to day actions by the Greek people in general. In the inimitable way of Greek activist's clarity of political language, they demand 'Hosting' and not 'Holding' for refugees. The anti-fascist movement is now focused on the major trial of Golden Dawn leaders for murder, having helped fight out the Golden Dawn attempts to establish 'no go' areas for refugees and immigrants in parts of Athens and other cities.

However, and despite the continuing commitments, there are significant differences of view as might be expected on future political perspectives, both in and between the various Greek movements. The large scale, basic, political unity of the left has broken up. Inevitably there are many voices to be heard within Greece's popular left but three basic approaches can be identified.

On June 6, 2016 Parliament passed a law to include an extra 2 million into the health service - not including those without social security numbers. Among Solidarity for All, particularly among those who have the skills to volunteer in the clinics, this final implementation of the Syriza promise to bring 'all' into the national health system has given a certain credence to the much referred to but otherwise rarely visible 'Parallel Programme' of the government. The argument follows that the Syriza government has two programmes, one forced on it by the EU and the other that comes from its initial commitment to anti-austerity. More importantly the Syriza government is now legitimised by the September 2015 elections. It is therefore argued that the relations with the Syriza government remain completely independent but pressure on the implementation of the Parallel Programme is justified. The authority of the July 2015 referendum has thereby been superseded.

The second approach regards Syriza now as carrying out the programme of the right - which the traditional right in Greek politics could not get away with. This both renders the previous criticism of and rejection of the old right wing, including PASOK, as voided, which is deeply negative, and strongly suggests that their previous political line was the only alternative, thus bringing forward the day when the rejected, old, right wing political forces can return 'with a bang.' Such militants argue that the popular self-organised movements have to build up their strength and create the future political instruments needed by the Greek people. The implications are that the referendum was a defining moment when Greece should have repudiated the debt, refused the memorandum and created its own currency. Therefore the September elections were part of a potentially dangerous retreat.

Meanwhile Antarsya, the coalition of the far left, which garnered 49,000 votes in the September 2015 and no MPs, and which is prominent in the Anti-Fascist work through Anti Fascist Action and the Greek Communist Party with 5 MPs have, from the outset, characterised Syriza as a Social Democratic Party and remain hostile to the government and to parts of the social movement. Both organisations continue to compete to form new revolutionary parties as alternatives to the governmental parties and any kind of membership of the EU.

Are there lessons for the left in Britain in all this?

Brexit has concentrated the long-term political crisis in Britain. Until the full economic consequences of the current European and global slow-down become clear, Britain's political evolution will remain unstable. In the case of the Labour Party, its decline brought on by Blair et al has already sped up to the point of self destruction, which can only be halted by the transformation of the party though its new members, the support of militant unions and the Corbyn leadership.

In other words, any hope for Labour, as a mainstream party, rests in the movements of the left, the unions, the anti-war and the anti-austerity movements and its new membership, taking the party into their grasp and building a new base among the 60% of Britons who see themselves as working class.

This may be a minority action in the first instance. Labour right wing MPs may well settle more comfortably in a National government brought on by the coming keener winds of globalisation. But an initial consolidation of a left political current of a million and more is a tremendous prize, an enormous investment into an uncertain and unstable future.

In short, the movements in Britain must shape their political project, now, and not assume that their independence and mass activity will of itself produce the spontaneous conditions for another, different, more immaculate conception (as the Greek CP and Antarsya seem to imagine.)

The movements in Greece predated Syriza, a party that emerged out of their success but which had not been created by it. In Britain, the successful renovation of the Labour Party may only be at the very beginning of the concrete steps needed to get to a real mass party of the working class that can lead on the testing, the fight with and the removal of the current political and economic systems. But without this first step, taken now, Britain's political (and coming economic) crises, will promote a much more dangerous direction.

Tuesday, 12 July 2016

A critical moment in Britain's history

The Tories are trying to recompose themselves. The first political project of Johnson and Gove failed despite their Brexit victory - as they destroyed each other. This means that the potential social base that Brexit had crystalised across many of Britain's towns and villages, which included splitting the working class vote, has not yet been regrouped behind a reinvigorated Tory right wing. A potential anti-immigrant 'bloc vote' of millions for the Tories remains yet to be garnered. It is very early and the Brexit / EU / global crisis will do nothing but grow. However, we are yet to see any decisive development of a reborn new right in the UK of the sort emerging across Central Europe and the US, despite the predictable rise in racist attacks.

In fact Brexit has brought all the longstanding British political contradictions together, thereby producing a great crisis across Britain's traditional politics, which has not yet broken either to the right or to the left. The social base of the Tories remains, for the moment unfortified, and is more fragile than at any time since the Poll Tax. They have not yet created new bunkers in society. Teresa May's leadership will be tested to destruction very soon as the demand for an early General Election from all sides rises. Meanwhile right wing Labour is desperately trying to hang on to the party, with their string of failures over a decade of austerity and war now completely exposed, despite having lost the support of the bulk of the unions and the party membership. This is a completely novel situation for Labour historically speaking.

The current conditions cannot hold.

Teresa May thinks she can wave an early election away, with a majority of 12, a party full of gung ho Brexiteers seeking radical neo-con 'solutions' to the new crises of spending, of health and welfare costs, of the collapse of investment that is emerging and who lean towards their own Trump wall against immigration. Off planet Tory, but with tremendous potential leverage, millions are facing the consequences of the next round of the economic crisis, and the mass movements against austerity and against war have never been bolder. The battle between the Labour Party of most trade unionists, of hundreds of thousands of its members, of millions who need the NHS, pensions, a better standard of life on the one hand and on the other 172 Labour MPs, who mainly got their privileged existence courtesy of the Party that they now attack, is a fight to the finish.

None of these developments were caused by the referendum vote on EU membership. Globalisation, the expanding democratic deficit, (expressed most sharply in Scotland in the UK's case) the increasingly 'radical' market solutions adopted by the world's capitalist leadership, in the banks and on the battlefield, all of these, combined in a unique way in the British context to result in a chronic, festering and now acute political crisis that has blown away the legend of British political stability for good.

And a unique opportunity has opened for the left.

A political regroupment on the left is in sight. The precondition of a successful regroupment of the left in Britain is contained in the soil from which it grows. Albeit battered, the trade unions are fighting back and large sections of its activists are prepared for a final reckoning with Blair's assorted offspring.

Huge movements, progressing from the famous million strong anti Iraq war march at the height of Blair's reign, have been built against austerity and further wars. Together with the left unions and the bulk of Labour's new members, a powerful left current has emerged which is the well spring for the most significant challenge to Labour's right wing since the party was founded. It should be remembered that after Blair and UKIP and the SNP, Labour was in the Intensive Care Unit. The initiative by a large part of Britain's new left current to occupy Labour's empty house has inevitably brought on the wrath of 172 Labour MPs who desperately wish to reject Labour's transfusion and who want to remain a biddable tail on the end of a ghost dog. The isolation of these MPs in the wider movement means that is is possible to envisage the emergence of a new, mass socialist party.

But while union support is there and the fire power of the new mass movements is indispensable, this moment will not last long. The political flux of previous Labour voters who voted for Brexit against immigration is not an indefinite condition. The coming economic and social pressure will mean more and more savage 'solutions' emerging across Europe and elsewhere. Now is the hour, the day, the week, to start to resolve the political chaos and uncertainty across society (which will of course feedback favourably into the internal struggle in Labour.)

This means the new left movement, hopefully starting with the Corbyn leadership but surfacing wherever it can, has to lay down a concrete programme to deal with a society in a spin and a system that is cracking. Thinking and ideas must be raised to the level of the crystal-clear, concrete reality. A new socialist labour must speak out now, on
1. An early General Election. No Prime Ministers without votes. No new governments without democracy. No more unfair and useless votes for the people.
2. An NHS law for a guaranteed percentage of Government spending, increased automatically with increased use.
3. No austerity. Increased minimum wage. Ceiling on wealth through tax. 400,000 social homes a year
4. Zero tolerance of racism; freedom of movement for refugees; government support for services and growing communities
5. No more foreign wars; no more nukes
6. Britain's government's main priority - to help the majority of ordinary people.  

Tuesday, 5 July 2016

Brexit's future

History has its own momentum and has just wiped out Brexit's front row. Brexit's main leader, Boris Johnston was nailed by his second in command Michael Gove, who promptly destroyed himself by his own breathtaking ambition. The 'brain' and the 'brawn' of Brexit having eaten each other, Nigel Farage, leader of UKIP, the long term pilot of Brexit, has now resigned (for the third time) to spend time with the European Parliament!

The British political crisis, the end of Britain's long reputation for 'stability', suddenly sped up and rolled over Brexit's front line in the process. Now the UK is left with a bunch of second rate Tory politicians and 'would be' Prime minister and Cabinet ministers, scrambling to get to the top of the mouldering heap of a deeply wounded government and its uneasy MPs.

Although most of the Tory pack insist it is their intention to carry on governing until 2020, the first glance into Brexit's future would suggest that they are likely to be disappointed.

Brexit, economically speaking, has only just begun. During 2014/15  the UK recorded a total of 1,988 Foreign Direct Investment projects – 12% more than in the previous record-breaking year. And UK inward FDI Stock – the amount of foreign direct investment in the UK - is estimated to have passed the £1 trillion level in 2014. (UK Gov. May 2016.) This was of course considerably bolstered by very large amounts of foreign property purchases, especially in London. However, FDI is a life saver for the British economy. And virtually all economists predict a serious decline in foreign investment in the UK as a result of Brexit. Indeed, according to Bank of England figures it has dwindled, particularly in the property market, since the start of the referendum debate.

Meanwhile domestic investment, by both the government and private capital, has been a systemic problem since WW2 and remains so. As the Office of National Statistics  have recently noted:
'...the proportion of total expenditure accounted for by spending on investment has fallen from an average of 13.5% in 2007, to an average of 10.9% during 2012 and to 10.4% in Q2 2013: the lowest level recorded since the 1950s. This compares with 14.1% in France, 16.7% in the United States and 17.9% in Canada. Across the G7, investment accounts for an average of 14.6% of Gross Final Expenditure.' 

This means a job crisis.

The 10 - 12% reduction in the value of the £ means imports cost more (including all the 'outsourced' goods currently sold in Britain's shops.) This means the value of wages goes down and a standard of living crisis. The only way to reduce the impact of rising prices is to increase the already nerve wracking levels of domestic debt. Which the Bank of England has just assured can increase at will. This will mean a debt crisis.

Government taxes will fall. For example, currently the City of London is forced to pay a minimal £67 billion a year off its gargantuan profits. Brexit will mean the bleeding away of City wealth holders as financial services will now cost more to sell in the EU. This means the Brexiteers will need to make the City into another tax free zone to keep the world's wealthy and rely on the pickings, or make unprecedented cuts. They will probably do both.

All this could be foreseen if the UK had stayed in the EU - albeit erupting at a different tempo. Taking one (very large ) case, the City of London has been the tail wagging the UK's economic dog for decades and this unstable and unbalanced arrangement was bound to come to grief under the new pressures of the global crisis. Similarly Britain's mountainous domestic debt and the relentless meagerness of its domestic investment, are not sustainable, even in the short term. And the list goes on. As globalisation squeezes through the EU so Britain's series of economic weaknesses would have blown. Brexit has simply brought them all together and made them all blow at once.

This, in the context of the new, fragile, unanchored UK political institutions, means that political crises will rapidly follow any serious economic shake up. As some of the major economic consequences of both Brexit and the new cycle of western economic crises are underway, so a major watershed in the weak link of Britain will break, and break early. The calls for a new vote on Scottish independence will only get louder. The fight against austerity, war and racism  can only get sharper. All this melee of politics and economics is therefore likely to produce a general election much earlier than 2020.

The Labour Party crisis has little to do with Brexit, but will certainly be caught up in its tangles. The sources of Labour's crisis are Blair, Scotland and a forty year retreat from even the most basic social democratic perspective. If Corbyn maintains his firm stand in defense of the Labour Party's growth and its membership's rights, he is likely to win any vote for a leader. He would then isolate the most right wing, rancorous and self seeking Labour MPs but not manage in a stroke to remove them. And the next stage of Labour's battle becomes how the right wing Labour MPs attach themselves to a national political purpose through which they might gain office and significance, while maintaining their base in the country.

This is not a puzzle without precedent. The last time there were major economic and political crises in the country, national governments were created to bring together 'the great and the good' (the rich and the powerful) to solve the nation's problems. One can easily imagine the new tyros of the anti-Corbyn League grasping at, or even proposing, the merging of Democratic? Labour with their Tory and Liberal counterparts in a government of national survival. Facing down such a charade, led by a solid Parliamentary, socialist group, backed by the mobilisation of millions in the country, is worth every moment of consternation and the beads of sweat that the Corbyn leadership is now experiencing.

Today, in Britain, big politics and economics are inextricably, moment by moment, bound together. Their intimacy, paradoxically  means that the overblown weaknesses of British society are starting to pull apart, between the nations of Britain, inside, as well as between, the mainstream political parties, inside, as well as between, the main classes in society and, underpinning all, economically, where the fundamentals no longer stick together or stack up.

Friday, 1 July 2016

Brexit's political future

Brexit is not the prime cause of Britain's current political crisis. The roots of Britain's political crisis are to be found in some of the results of the annual British Social Attitudes Report (30 June 2016.) To the surprise of the researchers, their carefully demographically balanced, 4328 person survey, found that 60% described themselves as working class. Less surprising perhaps, 82% of those working class people said that the gap between Britain's social classes was 'very wide', which was the highest level choice offered in the survey.

The surprise of the researches is shown in their report that 47% of those describing themselves as working class were not in what the surveyors described as traditional working class occupations. They also reported that there had been 'a big rise in support for higher public spending' and that this support 'had risen to levels not seen since before the 2008 crash.' 93% of those surveyed thought that the NHS had spending problems and 32% (a rise from 19% in 2014) thought that the NHS funding problems were severe.

Why are these findings significant in Britain's political crisis? Because they give the lie to the much trumpeted, beloved by the media, 'common sense' of the new political era, described on one side as 'One Nation Conservatism' and all its various sub plots like 'property owning democracy' and Gove's current aim of a 'fair country' etc., And the other, they also sink without trace Blair's Labour 'Classless Society' and all of the associated tripe like 'a middle way' and 'the end of the working class.'

The point here is not that the survey wins an argument, or that yesterday's political leaders will now not yammer on with the same scripts. The argument is rooted in how types of social systems are created and defended, and will not go away as a result of a piece of research. The politicians have nothing else in their armoury than failed ideas, and that has been true for decades. No. The significance of the survey is that it gives people who wish to see it a glimpse of what is, and what has been for decades, a failing and failed society.

It is important to register the rise an opposition to immigration since 2012, as well as a reduction (by 14%) year on year in the now 50% in favour of more spending on the elderly. Equally, support for the unemployed is also reducing. And some of these trends of opinion were obvious in the recent Brexit referendum. But what is now sure is that there was a split in the working class vote over Brexit, rather than an essentially a largely majority working class vote for leaving the EU. The vote in most big cities, in Scotland and in inner London had already given a similar indication. However, the significant effect of the survey on Britain's political crisis, from its origins up to its latest manifestation, is that British capitalism has no set of economics, or mainstream politics, that can stop the enlarging of a working class, in all of its new forms, with a greater and greater experience and understanding that they are living in a society that is not organised in any way in their interests.

This is a tremendous achievement by the people who have to sell their labour.

Consider the economic and political line of march in Britain since the defeat of the Miner's strike in 1985 from the point of view of the working class as a whole. Destruction of half of trade unionism through wreckage of traditional industry and the most severe anti-union laws in Europe; council house sales to end social housing; the shredding of the Labour Party base as the Party is turned into Tories mark 2 and its leaders embark on a series of suicidal wars; the transformation of the contract between labour and capital breaking collective bargaining, from zero hours contracts to 'self' employment. These and other attacks were all resisted. But the tide seemed to go only in one direction. And the working class  could only recognise itself though the small trade union movement, through bitter and often local defensive battles, through community action, latterly through the great movements first against war and then against austerity. And there was the relentless insistence of public 'common sense' that the class system was over. On the right this meant the watchword of 'opportunity for all', on the left, the debate was centered the 'politics of identity.'

But the reality of the modern politics and economics of capitalism went on producing its own pressure in the lives and in the minds of millions. Soon the fig leaf of Brexit as a means to open up progress for the majority of Britain's citizens will also fail. It was never a real alternative to those who hold wealth and power now. And although the British political class have jerked to the right, and although that current also finds an initial social base in a section of the working class via the route of immigration and racism, that social base can be challenged as it stands in contradiction to a new working class, A working class that has already moved beyond different types of jobs, or racial distinctions, to self-define both its own class in society and which has understood the fact that their own class is faring badly under capitalism.

While it would be ridiculous to minimise the struggles that have taken place in the past, it would be more absurd to underestimate those that will now take place between the classes in British society (which will include essential battles within the working class itself.) What is new is the change of direction. Britain's rulers have just thrown a desperate card in the pot. They hope to open a more vicious offensive against all other classes in society. They are a part of a global political movement that is going in the same direction. But the fact of the fight over Corbyn, inside mainstream politics, is an indication that working class politics is also rising up in society. Britain's political crisis has been simmering for decades. It has now broken open to the working class. What is new are the mass movements, from the Iraq anti-war march onward, that gave a new face and shape to Britain's new working class. What is new is that there is clearly a working class goal available to fight for - in this melee. Maintaining Corbyn's leadership of the Labour Party is the main objective for the working class interest in the daily political storms to come. And that is a dramatic sign that the new working class is becoming a class for itself - for it has broken into what was, since the 1980s, almost entirely the province of the ruling class.