Friday 30 August 2019

Revolution? In Britain?

There were small but angry crowds protesting in several of Britain's main cities when the news spread that Prime Minister Boris Johnson was closing Parliament for five or more weeks in the run up to his ultimatum to leave the EU by Halloween. Several leading journalists called for mass action on the streets to challenge what was described as a coup against Parliament. A major rally is being built by the Peoples Assembly and others in London on 3 September. Lots of similar actions are underway across the country.

From the point of view of the vast majority of Britain's population, Johnson's drive to Austerity mark two, courtesy of Trump, will be a disaster of epic proportions. But the vast majority of Britain's population are currently split over the EU. That is exactly what Johnson wants just now and he has built his real political project on that basis. His main plan was not so much designed on leaving the EU as such, but has always been focussed on decimating the Corbyn led Labour Party.

PM Johnson could not care less about whether the UK leaves the EU without a deal or if there is a last minute deal that is enough to pass in Parliament before the 30 October. His entire concern is to make sure he can get to and win an early General Election decisively before the roof comes down, when the 'no deal' or the 'half deal' starts to bite in society. Any delay would be fatal because a large shift to a radical Labour Party will happen, both fast and vast, in those circumstances.

In any case, Johnson believes that once Labour is defeated and when he is ensconced in Westminster after the election, he will probably be able to play around with a set of new negotiations with the EU. Similarly he doesn't particularly believe in any long term future for the shock troops of the right wing of the Tory Party. He believes he can weather any storm once Labour is defeated. The British ruling class see the destruction of Corbyn's Labour Party as of greater value and, if necessary, worth some longer term mucking around with the EU. And Johnson has bet his political future on that.

In the meantime the coming General Election, either just before 30 October if Parliament blocks the October exit, or just after if Parliament fails, is going to be based by Johnson entirely on aggravating the split inside Britain's working class and their allies. Johnson will lead the anti-immigrant, anti-Parliament show after spraying out some dodgy sweets to the 'more discipline, lock them up' brigade.

But Britain's history is moving faster than Johnson's stratagems (derived by Dominic Cummings.)

The political crisis has already becoming a social and economic crisis in society. And the so called United Kingdom is dividing.

First; the anger over Johnson's action is rising. And like most peoples' hatred against austerity, the Brexit split, which Johnson is currently relying on, does not apply. For example the actions against Johnson that have been called by the main political campaigning organisation in England, the Peoples Assembly, are echoed by Momentum movement inside the Labour Party. Together, they will produce a profound effect in the September multi-thousand Labour Party Conference which in turn reduces the power in society of the Brexit division. 'Down with No Deal, Johnson and Austerity' is a potent political mixture.

Second; Johnson's current capture of the leadership of society ('I can end the bloody Brexit carnival!') despite his base in a minority political and social bloc, is very fragile. Not just because mass action to a different tune (see above) is acutely on Britain's agenda but also because the emerging role of the US's President on the one hand, and the the growing associations with the far right on the other, are already emerging, will surface more, and are generally loathed by 75% of British population.

Third; the creeping economic catastrophe across the West, called the 'second face of 2008' by some economists, will be earlier and doubled in Britain if there is 'No Deal' or even a Tory Deal. And the obvious question arises, who is going to pay for the next 2008? Fear of this development, particularly if it starts breaking into people's hearing, is why Johnson is now spraying £millions across the land. He is desperate to close down Corbyn's Labour Party before the economy really begins to shake. After that he thinks he can fiddle with the EU if necessary to hold it all together.

Johnson is on a knife edge. The two things that can bring him down are a new protest on the streets, designed, as with the Anti-War movement against the war in Iraq and the Poll Tax protests, to win over society, to make the opposition to Johnson the prevailing 'common sense' of the majority. Coupled with such initiative and action, Labour's September conference cannot be dominated by an argument over Brexit. Instead the active, daily, overthrow of Johnson must take precedence. A calm and united Brexit decision and an end to the fake divisions among ordinary people has to be presented as a necessary result - of the defeat of the ten year, mangled, deadly, right wing Tory government, now finally led by the trickster Johnson!

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